Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DIA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.401684 0.444801 0.492829 0.550735 0.619257 0.698525 0.798303
2025-10-05 0.359347 0.416092 0.483781 0.571933 0.685978 0.831940 1.038889
2025-10-12 0.339318 0.407234 0.492924 0.612146 0.779301 1.014958 1.392641
2025-10-19 0.306525 0.376766 0.468825 0.602986 0.802468 1.105400 1.642354
2025-10-26 0.284172 0.356536 0.454570 0.603490 0.837280 1.218705 1.968328
2025-11-02 0.260291 0.331427 0.430143 0.584785 0.837834 1.274807 2.211166
2025-11-09 0.236815 0.304672 0.400452 0.553851 0.812612 1.279021 2.349100
2025-11-16 0.223170 0.290613 0.387733 0.547440 0.827007 1.358710 2.692882
2025-11-23 0.218686 0.289224 0.393465 0.570948 0.897557 1.567235 3.488233
2025-11-30 0.209137 0.279553 0.385492 0.570334 0.922978 1.687926 4.131265
2025-12-07 0.198623 0.267682 0.373030 0.560408 0.928349 1.764367 4.697436
2025-12-14 0.188718 0.256116 0.360160 0.548324 0.927305 1.825200 5.269515
2025-12-21 0.178749 0.244364 0.346927 0.535714 0.926480 1.896052 6.023703
2025-12-28 0.176736 0.244864 0.353832 0.561147 1.013305 2.243262 8.821729
2026-01-04 0.177365 0.249541 0.368107 0.602693 1.148197 2.820688 15.520838
2026-01-11 0.169938 0.240669 0.358207 0.594790 1.161045 2.998350 19.941176
2026-01-18 0.164467 0.234684 0.352928 0.595741 1.197153 3.289296 28.631994
2026-01-25 0.156660 0.224406 0.339265 0.577576 1.178523 3.349197 34.423339
2026-02-01 0.147670 0.211766 0.320655 0.547271 1.121781 3.220632 34.921117
2026-02-08 0.142630 0.205564 0.313433 0.541004 1.131952 3.406026 48.340856
2026-02-15 0.141850 0.206510 0.319342 0.564117 1.232460 4.114681 128.688569
2026-02-22 0.138059 0.202092 0.314930 0.563520 1.261813 4.484432 283.926245
2026-03-01 0.133387 0.195944 0.306885 0.553771 1.260438 4.676621 592.665763